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INDUSTRY NEWS

Differing 300-mm opinions

SOURCE: WORLD FAB WATCH, iSUPPLI; PHOTOS BY ED SHVARTZMAN; ILLUSTRATION BY LAUREN NAGODA

As illustrated above, two recent reports paint different pictures of the anticipated growth in 300-mm fabs. The January 2005 edition of World Fab Watch (WFW; compiled by Strategic Marketing Associates) contains data on large-size-silicon facilities with a better than 0.5 probability of going into production. The total number of 300-mm fabs in production in 2004 was 32, with projections of 15, 19, and 7 additional factories coming on-line in 2005, 2006, and 2007, respectively. The report forecasts that 73 fabs will be running 300-mm silicon by 2007. In its somewhat more conservative outlook, iSuppli sees a smaller number of big-wafer fabs ramping in the next few years. The El Segundo, CA­based firm's numbers don't differ much from WFW's for 2004 and 2005, but forecast much smaller growth in 2006 (10 new fabs, for a total of 56) and 2007 (4 new fabs, for a total of 60). Both reports forecast 2005 as the biggest single year for 300-mm ramps, with each predicting 16 new facilities coming on-line.


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