WORLD FAB WATCH, iSUPPLI; PHOTOS BY ED SHVARTZMAN; ILLUSTRATION
BY LAUREN NAGODA
illustrated above, two recent reports paint different pictures of the
anticipated growth in 300-mm fabs. The January 2005 edition of World Fab
Watch (WFW; compiled by Strategic Marketing Associates) contains data
on large-size-silicon facilities with a better than 0.5 probability of
going into production. The total number of 300-mm fabs in production in
2004 was 32, with projections of 15, 19, and 7 additional factories coming
on-line in 2005, 2006, and 2007, respectively. The report forecasts that
73 fabs will be running 300-mm silicon by 2007. In its somewhat more conservative
outlook, iSuppli sees a smaller number of big-wafer fabs ramping in the
next few years. The El Segundo, CAbased firm's numbers don't differ
much from WFW's for 2004 and 2005, but forecast much smaller growth in
2006 (10 new fabs, for a total of 56) and 2007 (4 new fabs, for a total
of 60). Both reports forecast 2005 as the biggest single year for 300-mm
ramps, with each predicting 16 new facilities coming on-line.
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