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Fab tool, materials
markets to top $43B

Recent forecasts for the worldwide semiconductor fab equipment and materials sectors predict that the combined market will top $43 billion in 2005. Gartner Dataquest said in July that it expects total sales for the wafer-fab tool space to hit $25.5 billion (excluding OEM sales), a 9.6% drop from 2004. SEMI’s fab materials data, also released in July, foresee the market coming up just shy of $18 billion, an increase of 6.1% versus last year. As the above chart indicates, the removal (cleaning, stripping, etc.), lithography, and deposition equipment segments will lead the way on the tool side, collectively accounting for about 66% of revenues. Gartner Dataquest’s snapshot data on the few hot equipment segments reveal that the 193-nm scanner space is expected to grow 54% this year, with thin-film metrology (18%) and direct-write lithography equipment (13%) as the only other two sectors with double-digit increases predicted. On the materials side, the silicon wafer market leads the pack, with sales expected to surpass $8 billion in 2005. Photomasks ($3 billion, including the captive share) and gases ($2.1 billion) are the other two materials sectors in the multi-billion-dollar club. The fastest-growing fab materials segment continues to be the other new materials category (low-k dielectrics, organometallic and dielectric precursors, copper plating solutions, etc.), which is expected to increase about 15.5% this year.

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